Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dubinsky wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.8% vs Carter 52.1% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 62.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Dubinsky
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dubinsky
Carter
Last 8: Dubinsky 4-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Dubinsky
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
0
Dubinsky
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (310)
52.9% (289)
+5.2%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
56.5% (69)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (52)
38.5% (26)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Dubinsky is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Dubinsky shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Carter
Home
56.9% (209)
56.4% (181)
Away
59.6% (230)
49.3% (203)
By Period
Dubinsky
Carter
P1
62.2%
56.6%
P2
58.9%
54.0%
P3
53.5%
47.2%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
58.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |