Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 44.0% vs Carter 51.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 60.1%
Defensive zone
Shore 59.3%
Neutral zone
Shore 62.9%
Result
Devin Shore favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Shore
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shore
Carter
Last 6: Shore 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
0
Shore
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Shore
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Shore
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (170)
49.9% (935)
-9.9%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
61.8% (157)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
46.7% (92)
+0.0%
On power play, Carter has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Shore is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Shore shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Shore
Carter
Home
38.0% (121)
52.4% (638)
Away
45.5% (88)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Shore
Carter
P1
47.9%
49.6%
P2
33.8%
50.9%
P3
40.6%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
52.0%▲
50.5%
41.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Devin Shore |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Devin Shore |