Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Carter 52.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 69.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Staal
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Staal
Carter
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
5
Staal
Carter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Staal
Carter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (514)
51.5% (934)
-2.7%
Power Play
59.2% (147)
58.5% (164)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
52.6% (95)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Staal is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Staal shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Home / Away
Staal
Carter
Home
57.8% (277)
55.1% (554)
Away
46.7% (392)
50.4% (639)
By Period
Staal
Carter
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
51.2%
52.1%
P3
53.4%
54.8%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |