Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Carter 58.5% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 81.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Staal
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
Carter
Last 6: Staal 1-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Staal
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Staal
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
59.7% (727)
-10.1%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
68.1% (72)
-33.1%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
53.2% (139)
-17.8%
On power play, Carter has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Staal
Carter
Home
46.1% (380)
58.7% (455)
Away
46.3% (363)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Staal
Carter
P1
45.7%
61.3%
P2
46.2%
57.1%
P3
46.5%
59.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |