Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.2%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 51.4% vs Carter 51.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 52.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 77.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 61.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Beagle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Beagle
Carter
Last 6: Beagle 1-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Beagle
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Beagle
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (514)
52.0% (471)
-0.8%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
55.3% (132)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (41)
43.9% (41)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Beagle is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Beagle shoots right. Carter is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Beagle
Carter
Home
57.1% (280)
53.6% (330)
Away
46.4% (293)
50.6% (314)
By Period
Beagle
Carter
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
56.3%
55.6%
P3
52.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |