Jeff Carter vs Jesse Winchester
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 54.1%). Look for Winchester on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Winchester shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Winchester 53.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 70.5%
Defensive zone
Winchester 57.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Carter
Winchester
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Winchester
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Winchester
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Winchester
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Winchester
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
2
Carter
Winchester
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
55.2% (716)
-1.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
46.7% (15)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
51.4% (175)
-5.1%
On power play, Carter has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Winchester is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Carter
Winchester
Home
54.7% (5,752)
54.7% (459)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
53.4% (451)
By Period
Carter
Winchester
P1
53.6%
47.8%
P2
52.8%
57.8%
P3
53.1%
56.2%
OT
56.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |