Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Larsson 49.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 87.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 52.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 74.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Carter
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carter
Larsson
Last 7: Carter 5-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
48.9% (501)
+4.5%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
50.0% (6)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
50.0% (26)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Carter shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Carter
Larsson
Home
54.8% (753)
51.7% (265)
Away
48.6% (662)
46.3% (268)
By Period
Carter
Larsson
P1
52.8%
58.8%
P2
53.0%
44.1%
P3
49.9%
44.0%
OT
53.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |