Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 51.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 75.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 60.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Carter
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Carter
Lehtera
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
7
Carter
Lehtera
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
10
2
Carter
Lehtera
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
4
Carter
Lehtera
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.4% (2,714)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
55.8% (339)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
41.3% (104)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Carter
Lehtera
Home
54.7% (5,752)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Carter
Lehtera
P1
53.6%
53.2%
P2
52.8%
50.6%
P3
53.1%
48.1%
OT
56.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |