Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Jooris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Jooris 48.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 79.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 59.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 65.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Carter
Jooris
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Carter
Jooris
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Jooris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Jooris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jooris
0
3
Carter
Jooris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
2
Carter
Jooris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Jooris
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
48.6% (1,221)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
61.0% (41)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
39.4% (175)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jooris shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Jooris is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Carter
Jooris
Home
54.7% (5,752)
49.0% (786)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
46.4% (651)
By Period
Carter
Jooris
P1
53.6%
47.5%
P2
52.8%
44.3%
P3
53.1%
51.3%
OT
56.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |