Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Rooney 46.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 91.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 61.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Carter
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Rooney
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Rooney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Rooney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
2
Carter
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
46.7% (2,042)
+6.6%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
41.7% (48)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
43.4% (267)
+2.9%
On power play, Carter has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Carter
Rooney
Home
54.7% (5,752)
47.4% (1,227)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
44.9% (1,130)
By Period
Carter
Rooney
P1
53.6%
48.1%
P2
52.8%
47.1%
P3
53.1%
43.6%
OT
56.5%
12.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |