Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 86.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 70.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Carter
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Carter
Chipchura
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Chipchura
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
3
Carter
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
0
Carter
Chipchura
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
50.9% (2,100)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
45.7% (46)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
45.0% (171)
+1.3%
On power play, Carter has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Carter
Chipchura
Home
54.7% (5,752)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Carter
Chipchura
P1
53.6%
51.1%
P2
52.8%
50.3%
P3
53.1%
48.9%
OT
56.5%
78.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |