Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Chipchura 51.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 88.5%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 60.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 63.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Carter
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Carter
Chipchura
Last 8: Carter 6-2 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Chipchura
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
2
Carter
Chipchura
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Chipchura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
52.8% (790)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
35.3% (17)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
45.9% (109)
+6.7%
On power play, Carter has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Chipchura is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Carter
Chipchura
Home
55.1% (554)
52.5% (465)
Away
50.4% (639)
50.8% (451)
By Period
Carter
Chipchura
P1
50.8%
53.6%
P2
52.1%
50.9%
P3
54.8%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |