Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Couture 48.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 52-43 in 95 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 75.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 61.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Carter
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
43
(95 meetings)
52
43
Carter
Couture
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
21
8
Carter
Couture
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
15
17
Carter
Couture
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
16
18
Carter
Couture
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
48.8% (8,919)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
54.6% (624)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
39.8% (992)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Carter
Couture
Home
54.7% (5,752)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Carter
Couture
P1
53.6%
47.9%
P2
52.8%
47.9%
P3
53.1%
49.2%
OT
56.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |