Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.4%). Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.7% vs Couture 51.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 54.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 53.6%
Neutral zone
Couture 57.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Carter
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Carter
Couture
Last 7: Carter 2-5 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Couture
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
3
Carter
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
2
Carter
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (565)
51.4% (775)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (188)
59.0% (78)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
39.1% (46)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Carter shoots right. Couture is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Carter
Couture
Home
52.3% (421)
53.3% (407)
Away
49.0% (353)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Carter
Couture
P1
55.4%
49.8%
P2
49.1%
53.3%
P3
47.6%
51.2%
OT
58.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Logan Couture |