Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Couture 51.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 69.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 52.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Carter
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Couture
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
51.2% (453)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
44.4% (9)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
59.3% (27)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Couture is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Carter
Couture
Home
56.4% (181)
54.4% (261)
Away
49.3% (203)
48.2% (228)
By Period
Carter
Couture
P1
56.6%
57.6%
P2
54.0%
48.4%
P3
47.2%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Logan Couture |