Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Glendening 55.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 77.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 88.3%
Neutral zone
Glendening 61.5%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Carter
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Carter
Glendening
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
4
Carter
Glendening
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Carter
Glendening
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Carter
Glendening
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
57.9% (7,736)
-4.6%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
56.4% (195)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
48.4% (2,490)
-2.1%
On even strength, Glendening has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Glendening is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,205).
Home / Away
Carter
Glendening
Home
54.7% (5,752)
55.4% (5,227)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
55.9% (5,194)
By Period
Carter
Glendening
P1
53.6%
56.0%
P2
52.8%
54.5%
P3
53.1%
56.5%
OT
56.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Glendening
66.0%▲
49.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |