Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.1% vs Johansson 41.7% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Johansson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Johansson 51.5%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Carter
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Carter
Johansson
Last 6: Carter 3-3 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Johansson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
3
Carter
Johansson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Johansson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (552)
40.4% (445)
+11.8%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
33.3% (39)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (100)
50.0% (6)
-9.0%
On power play, Carter has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carter shoots right. Johansson is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Carter
Johansson
Home
51.2% (324)
42.6% (249)
Away
51.2% (422)
37.3% (241)
By Period
Carter
Johansson
P1
49.8%
43.9%
P2
52.8%
33.5%
P3
51.2%
42.5%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |