Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Kruger 50.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 35-26 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 91.9%
Defensive zone
Kruger 50.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 69.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Carter
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
26
(61 meetings)
35
26
Carter
Kruger
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
17
5
Carter
Kruger
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
5
14
Carter
Kruger
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
13
7
Carter
Kruger
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
52.4% (3,509)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
46.5% (99)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
42.9% (860)
+3.4%
On power play, Carter has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Home / Away
Carter
Kruger
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.7% (2,242)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.3% (2,231)
By Period
Carter
Kruger
P1
53.6%
49.7%
P2
52.8%
49.7%
P3
53.1%
52.1%
OT
56.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |