Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Letestu 52.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 63.8%
Defensive zone
Letestu 55.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Carter
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
20
(41 meetings)
21
20
Carter
Letestu
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
13
6
Carter
Letestu
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
3
6
Carter
Letestu
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
5
8
Carter
Letestu
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
53.3% (4,565)
+0.0%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
56.0% (687)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
44.2% (1,005)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Carter
Letestu
Home
54.7% (5,752)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Carter
Letestu
P1
53.6%
51.5%
P2
52.8%
55.0%
P3
53.1%
49.8%
OT
56.5%
51.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 12:03 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |