Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Letestu 50.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 83.4%
Defensive zone
Letestu 55.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 64.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Carter
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Letestu
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
50.3% (378)
+2.6%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
68.0% (25)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
44.0% (84)
-5.5%
On power play, Letestu has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Carter is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Carter shoots right. Letestu is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Carter
Letestu
Home
56.4% (181)
51.9% (231)
Away
49.3% (203)
48.4% (256)
By Period
Carter
Letestu
P1
56.6%
48.0%
P2
54.0%
55.7%
P3
47.2%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |