Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.6% vs Letestu 53.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 63.9%
Defensive zone
Letestu 67.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Carter
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Carter
Letestu
Last 6: Carter 3-3 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Carter
Letestu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (307)
53.3% (625)
-0.2%
Power Play
62.5% (64)
59.6% (89)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
70.4% (27)
50.3% (173)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Carter is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Carter shoots right. Letestu is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Carter
Letestu
Home
58.9% (285)
55.8% (421)
Away
47.8% (113)
51.1% (466)
By Period
Carter
Letestu
P1
54.9%
52.0%
P2
57.5%
55.2%
P3
56.0%
53.4%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |