Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Granlund 41.4% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 92.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 97.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 96.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 95.5%
95.5%
4.5%
Carter
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Carter
Granlund
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
3
Carter
Granlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
8
2
Carter
Granlund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
41.3% (1,525)
+12.0%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
45.1% (91)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
32.8% (119)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Granlund is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Home / Away
Carter
Granlund
Home
54.7% (5,752)
43.1% (886)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
38.6% (849)
By Period
Carter
Granlund
P1
53.6%
42.9%
P2
52.8%
39.1%
P3
53.1%
41.1%
OT
56.5%
26.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |