Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Granlund 44.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 90.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 77.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 87.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Carter
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Carter
Granlund
Last 5: Carter 5-0 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
42.6% (441)
+5.9%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
33.3% (12)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
52.6% (19)
-11.9%
On power play, Carter has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Carter shoots right. Granlund is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Carter
Granlund
Home
50.8% (597)
44.0% (284)
Away
46.8% (631)
41.0% (188)
By Period
Carter
Granlund
P1
48.8%
45.8%
P2
48.0%
39.7%
P3
49.4%
43.2%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |