Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.7%). Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 30 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 45-31 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 56.4%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 56.1%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Carter
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
45
(76 meetings)
31
45
Carter
Hanzal
Last 10: Carter 2-8 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
11
10
Carter
Hanzal
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
10
20
Carter
Hanzal
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
10
15
Carter
Hanzal
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
54.0% (5,547)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
56.7% (1,179)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
46.0% (644)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Carter
Hanzal
Home
54.7% (5,752)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Carter
Hanzal
P1
53.6%
54.9%
P2
52.8%
53.6%
P3
53.1%
52.4%
OT
56.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2017 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |