Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.4%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Hendricks leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 67.5%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 70.6%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 51.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Carter
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Carter
Hendricks
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
1
Carter
Hendricks
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
3
Carter
Hendricks
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
2
Carter
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
55.0% (1,616)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
52.6% (38)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
48.4% (446)
-2.1%
On power play, Carter has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Carter
Hendricks
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Carter
Hendricks
P1
53.6%
53.2%
P2
52.8%
53.3%
P3
53.1%
53.6%
OT
56.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2017 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |