Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Hendricks 49.7% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 61.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 66.6%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 57.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Carter
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Hendricks
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
2
Carter
Hendricks
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
47.8% (159)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
100.0% (1)
-41.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
55.3% (38)
-2.7%
On power play, Hendricks has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Hendricks is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Carter
Hendricks
Home
55.1% (554)
51.1% (88)
Away
50.4% (639)
48.2% (110)
By Period
Carter
Hendricks
P1
50.8%
43.3%
P2
52.1%
53.8%
P3
54.8%
51.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |