Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Lombardi 46.1% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 80.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 81.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Carter
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Lombardi
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Lombardi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Lombardi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Lombardi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
46.8% (203)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
33.3% (27)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
16.7% (6)
+21.8%
On power play, Carter has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Lombardi is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Carter
Lombardi
Home
56.4% (181)
44.0% (109)
Away
49.3% (203)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Carter
Lombardi
P1
56.6%
47.0%
P2
54.0%
42.2%
P3
47.2%
43.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |