Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Lapierre 51.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Lapierre leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 60.0%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 87.3%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 71.6%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Carter
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Carter
Lapierre
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Lapierre
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
11
Carter
Lapierre
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
52.9% (2,085)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
53.1% (32)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
43.1% (415)
+3.2%
On power play, Carter has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Carter
Lapierre
Home
54.7% (5,752)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Carter
Lapierre
P1
53.6%
52.5%
P2
52.8%
50.7%
P3
53.1%
51.1%
OT
56.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |