Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Lapierre 50.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 79.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 84.4%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 59.3%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Carter
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Lapierre
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Lapierre
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
3
Carter
Lapierre
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
52.9% (416)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
54.5% (11)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
41.7% (115)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Lapierre has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Carter is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Carter shoots right. Lapierre is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Carter
Lapierre
Home
56.4% (181)
48.7% (277)
Away
49.3% (203)
52.5% (265)
By Period
Carter
Lapierre
P1
56.6%
56.6%
P2
54.0%
43.9%
P3
47.2%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |