Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Handzus 51.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Handzus 66.4%
Defensive zone
Handzus 71.2%
Neutral zone
Handzus 72.3%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Carter
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Carter
Handzus
Last 10: Carter 4-6 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
2
Carter
Handzus
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
2
4
Carter
Handzus
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
1
6
Carter
Handzus
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.5% (2,438)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
58.0% (286)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
47.3% (471)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Handzus is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,055).
Home / Away
Carter
Handzus
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Carter
Handzus
P1
53.6%
52.5%
P2
52.8%
53.7%
P3
53.1%
48.4%
OT
56.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 16:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 03:05 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |