Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 22-7 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 88.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 99.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 96.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 96.8%
96.8%
3.2%
Carter
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
7
(29 meetings)
22
7
Carter
Ribeiro
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
3
Carter
Ribeiro
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
14
2
Carter
Ribeiro
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
7
2
Carter
Ribeiro
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
42.9% (4,887)
+10.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
45.6% (930)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
33.3% (147)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Carter
Ribeiro
Home
54.7% (5,752)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Carter
Ribeiro
P1
53.6%
42.6%
P2
52.8%
44.3%
P3
53.1%
41.8%
OT
56.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |