Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Ribeiro 42.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 72.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 67.0%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 53.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Carter
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Carter
Ribeiro
Last 6: Carter 3-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
2
Carter
Ribeiro
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
41.1% (375)
+12.3%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
41.8% (67)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
50.0% (2)
-7.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Carter shoots right. Ribeiro is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Carter
Ribeiro
Home
54.8% (753)
38.7% (230)
Away
48.6% (662)
43.9% (214)
By Period
Carter
Ribeiro
P1
52.8%
41.6%
P2
53.0%
45.5%
P3
49.9%
36.9%
OT
53.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |