Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Grabovski 48.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 82.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 86.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Carter
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Carter
Grabovski
Last 7: Carter 7-0 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Grabovski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Grabovski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
0
Carter
Grabovski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
47.8% (992)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
51.4% (222)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
42.9% (77)
-5.4%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Grabovski is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Carter
Grabovski
Home
55.0% (291)
50.0% (658)
Away
54.5% (314)
46.9% (668)
By Period
Carter
Grabovski
P1
57.2%
49.3%
P2
46.6%
47.2%
P3
58.0%
48.4%
OT
77.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 12:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 9, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |