Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.9% vs Koivu 54.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 51.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 53.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 50.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Carter
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carter
Koivu
Last 8: Carter 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Carter
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Carter
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (471)
54.0% (948)
-2.0%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
58.7% (225)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (41)
54.3% (138)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Carter shoots right. Koivu is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
Carter
Koivu
Home
53.6% (330)
59.8% (669)
Away
50.6% (314)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Carter
Koivu
P1
50.0%
53.4%
P2
55.6%
56.2%
P3
50.3%
56.3%
OT
59.1%
36.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 3, 2013 | OT | 04:32 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |