Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Petan 45.7% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 88.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 93.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Carter
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
Petan
Last 6: Carter 5-1 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Petan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Petan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Petan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
45.4% (416)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
34.6% (26)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
0.0% (1)
+46.3%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Petan is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Carter
Petan
Home
54.7% (5,752)
42.3% (196)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
46.6% (247)
By Period
Carter
Petan
P1
53.6%
51.9%
P2
52.8%
45.0%
P3
53.1%
35.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |