Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Gaustad 57.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 75.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 87.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 67.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Carter
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Carter
Gaustad
Last 7: Carter 4-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Carter
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
59.8% (353)
-6.9%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
66.7% (15)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
58.0% (81)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Gaustad is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Carter
Gaustad
Home
56.4% (181)
62.1% (195)
Away
49.3% (203)
57.9% (254)
By Period
Carter
Gaustad
P1
56.6%
59.4%
P2
54.0%
58.1%
P3
47.2%
61.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |