Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Holland 45.9% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 96.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 90.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 91.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 93.8%
93.8%
6.2%
Carter
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Carter
Holland
Last 10: Carter 8-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
2
Carter
Holland
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Holland
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
5
4
Carter
Holland
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
45.6% (2,232)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
52.4% (126)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
42.3% (137)
+4.0%
On even strength, Carter has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Holland is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Carter
Holland
Home
54.7% (5,752)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Carter
Holland
P1
53.6%
46.1%
P2
52.8%
47.3%
P3
53.1%
43.9%
OT
56.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Peter Holland |