Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Koivu 51.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 32-31 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 72.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 58.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Carter
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
31
(63 meetings)
32
31
Carter
Koivu
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
16
5
Carter
Koivu
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
12
Carter
Koivu
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
13
14
Carter
Koivu
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.9% (3,221)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
59.3% (437)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
48.0% (764)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Carter
Koivu
Home
54.7% (5,752)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Carter
Koivu
P1
53.6%
51.1%
P2
52.8%
52.6%
P3
53.1%
51.8%
OT
56.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |