Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Koivu 51.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 86.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 69.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Carter
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Carter
Koivu
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
7
2
Carter
Koivu
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
52.5% (631)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
49.3% (73)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
47.6% (147)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Koivu is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Carter
Koivu
Home
56.4% (181)
51.3% (431)
Away
49.3% (203)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Carter
Koivu
P1
56.6%
51.9%
P2
54.0%
52.9%
P3
47.2%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |