Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Gomez 48.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 82.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 96.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 91.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Carter
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Carter
Gomez
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
3
Carter
Gomez
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
5
1
Carter
Gomez
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
47.9% (2,814)
+5.4%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
50.6% (516)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
36.5% (74)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Gomez is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,238).
Home / Away
Carter
Gomez
Home
54.7% (5,752)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Carter
Gomez
P1
53.6%
48.6%
P2
52.8%
48.2%
P3
53.1%
47.5%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2015 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 18:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |