Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Doan 48.3% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 92.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.4%
Neutral zone
Doan 75.5%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Carter
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carter
Doan
Last 5: Carter 1-4 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
1
2
Carter
Doan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
2
Carter
Doan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
48.6% (451)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
46.3% (136)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
50.0% (10)
-3.7%
On power play, Carter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Carter shoots right. Doan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Carter
Doan
Home
54.7% (5,752)
48.4% (312)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Carter
Doan
P1
53.6%
42.8%
P2
52.8%
48.3%
P3
53.1%
53.0%
OT
56.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Shane Doan |