Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Ott 54.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 69.0%
Defensive zone
Ott 69.8%
Neutral zone
Ott 56.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Carter
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Ott
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
2
Carter
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
59.6% (228)
-8.1%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
71.4% (7)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
38.8% (49)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Ott is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Carter
Ott
Home
55.1% (554)
61.9% (126)
Away
50.4% (639)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Carter
Ott
P1
50.8%
65.4%
P2
52.1%
50.0%
P3
54.8%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2014 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Steve Ott |