Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Sestito 46.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 93.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 85.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 88.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Carter
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Carter
Sestito
Last 8: Carter 6-2 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Sestito
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
45.7% (457)
+7.6%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
55.6% (9)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
34.2% (38)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Sestito is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Carter
Sestito
Home
54.7% (5,752)
48.0% (273)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Carter
Sestito
P1
53.6%
42.5%
P2
52.8%
42.1%
P3
53.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |