Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Sestito 47.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 86.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 74.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Carter
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Sestito
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Sestito
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Sestito
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
45.7% (230)
+10.5%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
62.5% (8)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
33.3% (12)
+4.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Sestito is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Carter
Sestito
Home
55.0% (291)
46.5% (142)
Away
54.5% (314)
45.0% (111)
By Period
Carter
Sestito
P1
57.2%
43.9%
P2
46.6%
50.0%
P3
58.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:06 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |