Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ruutu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Ruutu 41.0% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 88.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 96.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 95.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Carter
Ruutu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
Ruutu
Last 6: Carter 5-1 Ruutu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Ruutu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Ruutu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Ruutu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ruutu
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
40.3% (688)
+13.0%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
37.8% (119)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
36.4% (11)
+9.9%
On power play, Carter has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ruutu shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Ruutu is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Carter
Ruutu
Home
54.7% (5,752)
42.2% (438)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
37.4% (388)
By Period
Carter
Ruutu
P1
53.6%
37.9%
P2
52.8%
40.7%
P3
53.1%
41.3%
OT
56.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 1, 2010 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 1, 2010 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 1, 2010 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Nov 1, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |