Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Filppula on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Filppula 51.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Filppula 65.1%
Defensive zone
Filppula 61.8%
Neutral zone
Filppula 64.8%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Carter
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Carter
Filppula
Last 6: Carter 1-5 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
2
Carter
Filppula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
2
Carter
Filppula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Filppula
0
1
Carter
Filppula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
51.7% (768)
+4.5%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
52.2% (113)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
51.4% (35)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Filppula has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Filppula is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Carter
Filppula
Home
55.0% (291)
53.3% (493)
Away
54.5% (314)
49.4% (435)
By Period
Carter
Filppula
P1
57.2%
47.8%
P2
46.6%
50.2%
P3
58.0%
55.7%
OT
77.8%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |