Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Sobotka 55.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 68.5%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 58.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.3%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Carter
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Carter
Sobotka
Last 7: Carter 2-5 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
2
4
Carter
Sobotka
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Carter
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
57.0% (398)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
63.9% (36)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
50.0% (72)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Sobotka is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Carter
Sobotka
Home
56.4% (181)
58.3% (252)
Away
49.3% (203)
54.7% (254)
By Period
Carter
Sobotka
P1
56.6%
55.6%
P2
54.0%
58.5%
P3
47.2%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |