Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 19-19 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 60.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Carter
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
19
(38 meetings)
19
19
Carter
Smith
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
6
5
Carter
Smith
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
8
Carter
Smith
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Carter
Smith
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
51.2% (342)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
45.3% (985)
+1.0%
On power play, Carter has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Carter
Smith
Home
54.7% (5,752)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Carter
Smith
P1
53.6%
49.9%
P2
52.8%
50.0%
P3
53.1%
51.9%
OT
56.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |