Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 53.9%). Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Smith 53.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 57.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 56.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Carter
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Carter
Smith
Last 7: Carter 4-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Carter
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
58.1% (322)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
36.8% (19)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
32.6% (46)
+4.9%
On power play, Carter has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Carter shoots right. Smith is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Carter
Smith
Home
55.0% (291)
58.8% (204)
Away
54.5% (314)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Carter
Smith
P1
57.2%
52.9%
P2
46.6%
56.3%
P3
58.0%
51.9%
OT
77.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |