Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 48.8% vs Smith 51.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 67.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 54.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Carter
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carter
Smith
Last 8: Carter 2-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Carter
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Carter
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (977)
53.6% (550)
-5.1%
Power Play
57.8% (128)
53.5% (71)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (123)
43.5% (108)
-2.8%
On even strength, Smith has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Carter shoots right. Smith is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Carter
Smith
Home
50.8% (597)
56.5% (352)
Away
46.8% (631)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Carter
Smith
P1
48.8%
52.0%
P2
48.0%
51.5%
P3
49.4%
52.2%
OT
45.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Zack Smith |